Olivenza vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AMA
1 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 2
UDF
58%
22%
20%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
VAL
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MON
2 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 1
EXT
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
VAL
65%
21%
14%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
33%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DBN
0 - 0
ARR
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ARR
2 - 0
SAM
55%
24%
22%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |