Olivenza vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
63.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-56%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olivenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
COR
2 - 0
OLI
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 1
DBN
27%
29%
44%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 1
SAM
23%
26%
51%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 1
OLI
87%
10%
3%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MIA
0 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 1
SAM
68%
19%
13%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
ARR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
MIA
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2010 |
CDZ
1 - 0
ARR
23%
24%
54%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 0
IMP
86%
10%
4%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |