Oliveira Hospital vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 2
COV
10%
20%
70%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CAL
3 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VST
5 - 2
OLI
77%
17%
7%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 1
TOR
26%
27%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 1
LOU
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
PAR
3 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
28%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 3
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 5
TIR
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -4 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AMA
8 - 0
UNM
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
UNM
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -3 |