Oliveira Hospital vs Ribeirão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GDA
2 - 2
OLI
73%
17%
10%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 1
CAL
31%
24%
46%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
OEI
1 - 4
OLI
68%
18%
14%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +3 |
Matches
Ribeirão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
AMA
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 1
RIB
68%
21%
12%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 1
TIR
30%
26%
44%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
INF
1 - 0
RIB
18%
24%
58%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
6 - 0
UNI
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | -1 |