Oliveira Hospital vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
5 - 0
CDT
78%
14%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 4
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 0
38%
24%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
RIB
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 3
OLI
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 1
REA
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
PRA
3 - 0
FAB
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ELE
0 - 0
FAB
16%
22%
62%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
0 - 2
FAB
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 13 | 50 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
FAB
3 - 4
IDE
83%
13%
5%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | -1 |