Oliveira Hospital vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
3º
10º
7º
22
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
26 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
26 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 16 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 16 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 13 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 7 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Hospital
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PER
3 - 2
OLI
47%
24%
30%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
1DE
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 0
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
SPC
14%
22%
65%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
PER
1 - 0
OLI
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
1DE
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 1
SPC
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
PER
1 - 2
CAL
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 0
SCP
34%
26%
40%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 2
ACA
27%
25%
48%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |