Oliveira de Frades vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
67.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira de Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
OLI
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 1
LUS
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +3 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 2
CES
25%
22%
53%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GAF
1 - 1
OLI
58%
22%
21%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
SAN
14%
18%
67%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
POM
2 - 0
MOR
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAB
0 - 0
MOR
21%
20%
59%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
OEL
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
COI
17%
25%
58%
|
42 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 3
MOR
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |