Oliveira de Frades vs Mortágua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
57.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira de Frades
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 3
LUS
22%
23%
55%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 1
OLI
70%
18%
13%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
OLI
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 2
GAF
23%
22%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
OLI
75%
16%
10%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Mortágua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CES
3 - 1
MOR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
3 - 0
GAF
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MOR
1 - 0
BUS
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
0 - 1
MOR
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |