Oliveira Douro vs Vila Meã analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
13º
11º
22
8º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
2 - 0
ODO
64%
20%
17%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 2
FFC
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
GON
1 - 0
ODO
63%
19%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 3
BMA
28%
25%
47%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
ODO
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Vila Meã
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
SAL
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 0
VIL
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 2
VSC
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 1
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
FFC
1 - 3
VIL
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +1 |