Oliveira Douro vs USC Paredes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
35.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
13º
11º
35
5º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ADM
2 - 4
ODO
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ODO
0 - 0
VSC
26%
22%
52%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
1 - 1
SAL
28%
22%
51%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ACD
2 - 1
ODO
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ODO
2 - 1
VIL
46%
22%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
USC Paredes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 3
SAL
37%
28%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ACD
3 - 0
PAR
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
VIL
61%
21%
17%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PAR
46%
29%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 1
FFC
58%
22%
21%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |