Oliveira Douro vs Recreativa de Lamelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1028%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
6º
13º
11º
24
7º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Oliveira Douro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 3
ODO
58%
20%
22%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ODO
1 - 1
SAO
23%
22%
55%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
RAB
3 - 2
ODO
59%
21%
20%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
FFC
0 - 0
ODO
27%
21%
52%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ODO
1 - 0
GON
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +3 |
Matches
Recreativa de Lamelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 5
SAL
8%
14%
79%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
VSC
4 - 0
ACD
91%
7%
3%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
1 - 3
TIR
13%
17%
70%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
ACD
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
ACD
0 - 1
SAO
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |