Olimpo vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
QUI
1 - 1
OLI
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
3 - 0
RAC
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
GLP
3 - 1
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
OLI
4 - 1
ARG
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
SLO
2 - 0
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
TFE
0 - 2
IND
23%
26%
51%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
EST
0 - 3
TFE
77%
16%
8%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
TFE
3 - 3
VEL
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
ARS
3 - 0
TFE
72%
19%
8%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
TFE
0 - 1
COL
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |