Olimpo vs Instituto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
BEL
1 - 0
OLI
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 3
ALB
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
DYJ
1 - 1
OLI
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
TFE
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
RAF
5 - 0
OLI
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Instituto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2009 |
INS
1 - 0
TAL
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
INS
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
INS
2 - 1
FER
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
QUI
2 - 4
INS
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
INS
0 - 2
ATT
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |