Olimpo vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
4º
1º
31
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
32 | 36 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 35 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 34 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 23 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 22 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 22 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 21 |
7º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 19 |
8º
|
50% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 18 |
9º
|
67.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 3
OLI
43%
27%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
RSA
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
OLI
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAU
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GER
2 - 1
KIM
53%
27%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
2 - 2
GER
15%
22%
63%
|
50 | 16 | 34 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GER
3 - 1
SAN
38%
29%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
14%
28%
59%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |