Olimpo vs Germinal de Rawson analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
2º
1º
34
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
92.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
58% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
CIP
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
RSA
0 - 0
OLI
22%
27%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
VIL
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 2
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Germinal de Rawson
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
SDM
1 - 4
GER
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 1
CIP
38%
28%
34%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
69%
20%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
GER
1 - 0
VIL
21%
30%
49%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 1
GER
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |