Olimpo vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
1º
4º
1º
22
4º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
36 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
22 | 25 |
4º
|
52% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 23 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 11 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDC
3 - 1
OLI
10%
23%
67%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
SAU
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
CIP
0 - 0
OLI
14%
25%
62%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 0
OLI
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
KIM
65%
23%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
2 - 0
RSA
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 14 | 40 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
RSA
1 - 1
GER
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 0
RSA
67%
21%
12%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
DHA
0 - 0
RSA
50%
27%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |