Olimpo vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
BUC
1 - 0
OLI
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
OLI
1 - 0
BEL
39%
28%
33%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PLA
0 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
FER
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 3
QUI
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MER
1 - 1
SMA
26%
30%
44%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
RAF
1 - 3
MER
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
MER
0 - 1
QUI
25%
30%
46%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ALD
2 - 0
MER
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
MER
0 - 0
DEF
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |