Olimpo vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
BEL
1 - 1
OLI
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
1 - 0
NOB
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
BOC
2 - 0
OLI
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
OLI
2 - 0
LAN
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
RAF
3 - 1
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
EST
0 - 0
RAF
41%
28%
32%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
GLP
1 - 1
RAF
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
RAF
1 - 2
BEL
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
NOB
4 - 1
RAF
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |