Olimpo vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
ALM
0 - 1
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 0
SMA
57%
25%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
PLA
1 - 2
OLI
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 3
CAU
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
0 - 2
TAL
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
RAF
0 - 2
TAL
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ALD
0 - 1
RAF
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
RAF
1 - 0
FER
65%
22%
14%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
QUI
1 - 2
RAF
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
RAF
2 - 0
ATT
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |