Olimpo vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
TAL
1 - 0
OLI
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 2
LAN
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
HUR
0 - 1
OLI
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 2
RIV
16%
20%
64%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
CHA
0 - 1
OLI
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 0
ARS
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
QUI
3 - 1
RAF
42%
26%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
SMA
2 - 3
RAF
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
RAF
1 - 1
INS
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ALM
1 - 1
RAF
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |