Conference League qualifiers Playoffs Final
Global 6-1
Olimpija Ljubljana vs HNK Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
42.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
OSI
0 - 2
RIJ
40%
26%
34%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
4 - 0
IST
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ELF
2 - 0
RIJ
43%
25%
33%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 0
RIJ
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |