Olimpija Ljubljana vs Primorje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
3º
1º
24
6º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 68 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 64 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 64 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 59 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
5º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 47 |
6º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 42 |
7º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
40% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 32 |
9º
|
46.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 26 |
10º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
51% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
24% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
HKR
1 - 0
OLI
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
IMP
1 - 6
OLI
6%
14%
81%
|
76 | 37 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2025 |
SLA
0 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 0
OLI
55%
22%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 4
CER
26%
25%
49%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Primorje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SIR
1 - 1
NKP
60%
22%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
NKP
0 - 4
SLA
40%
24%
37%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
LOK
0 - 0
NKP
67%
20%
14%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NKP
1 - 1
HNG
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2025 |
RIJ
1 - 1
NKP
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |