Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
3º
1º
13
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 70 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 67 |
2º
|
37% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 61 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 58 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 58 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 50 |
6º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 40 |
7º
|
43% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 38 |
8º
|
49.5% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 29 |
9º
|
45% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 26 |
10º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
60% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
23% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 6% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 35.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 58.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKP
72%
19%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CSK
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
2 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
3 - 3
ZTE
20%
21%
59%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
NKN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
NKN
71%
17%
12%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |