Olimpija Ljubljana vs Nafta Lendava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
1º
6
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
22% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 66.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 1
OLI
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
POL
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKP
72%
19%
10%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
CSK
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nafta Lendava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
2 - 1
RAD
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
NKN
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKN
3 - 3
ZTE
20%
21%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
NKN
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
NKN
71%
17%
12%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |