Olimpija Ljubljana vs NS Mura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
1º
15
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
38.5% | 8.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
22% | 11% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30.5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 47% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
RIJ
1 - 1
OLI
66%
19%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NS Mura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 9
NSM
7%
14%
79%
|
73 | 21 | 52 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
RAD
55%
24%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
2 - 3
BRA
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
NSM
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |