Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
2º
1º
62
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
BRA
6 - 1
OLI
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 0
TAS
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NSM
2 - 3
OLI
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 3
OLI
31%
29%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 2
DOM
51%
25%
24%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCK
37%
26%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GOR
1 - 4
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
STR
5 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 5
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |