Olimpija Ljubljana vs FC Koper analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
3º
2º
14
2º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
18 | 66 |
1º
|
29% | |
|
|
1º
|
19 | 62 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 62 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 56 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 54 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 38 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 36 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
62% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
26.5% | 13% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
23% | 14.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30.5% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
20% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 3
OLI
33%
23%
44%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
BRA
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
RAD
0 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
42%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 0
NSM
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
5 - 0
RIJ
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Koper
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
NSM
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
DEK
1 - 8
FCK
11%
19%
70%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
FCK
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
FCK
0 - 0
CEL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKG
0 - 6
FCK
4%
9%
87%
|
76 | 5 | 71 | -1 |