Olimpija Ljubljana vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
1º
11
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 67 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 59 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 58 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 55 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 52 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 39 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 39 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 37 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 27 |
10º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
38.5% | 11% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
22% | 15% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
30.5% | 38% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHF
0 - 1
OLI
43%
25%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
DOM
0 - 0
OLI
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 0
SHF
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
NKN
71%
19%
11%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
SHR
3 - 1
CEL
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
4 - 2
RAD
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
CEL
1 - 0
SHR
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NSM
1 - 0
CEL
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SBR
5 - 0
CEL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |