Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Olimpija Ljubljana vs Bohemian FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
OLI
3 - 0
SIR
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
SIR
0 - 0
OLI
55%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 3
TRI
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
DOM
3 - 0
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
OLI
5 - 0
NKP
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bohemian FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 0
GAL
76%
18%
7%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2011 |
DUN
1 - 3
BOH
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
BOH
2 - 0
DRO
73%
19%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2011 |
BRW
1 - 2
BOH
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
DER
3 - 0
BOH
37%
28%
35%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |