Olímpico SE vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
69.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OSE
80%
14%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
BOC
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
OSE
72%
20%
9%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SOC
1 - 2
OSE
56%
23%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
OSE
0 - 0
SER
16%
21%
62%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
TRE
3 - 2
CON
20%
23%
56%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CON
0 - 0
LAG
79%
15%
6%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CON
1 - 0
ITA
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
SOC
4 - 5
CON
12%
21%
67%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AMA
0 - 1
CON
7%
15%
77%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |