Olímpico SE vs Guarany SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olímpico SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
AFP
0 - 0
OSE
63%
20%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
OSE
72%
19%
9%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
1 - 2
BOC
34%
25%
42%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
OSE
0 - 2
CON
11%
18%
71%
|
24 | 54 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
LAG
2 - 0
OSE
56%
24%
20%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOC
46%
24%
30%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
CON
5 - 0
GUA
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 1
SER
24%
24%
52%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
DOR
0 - 0
GUA
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
1 - 3
ITA
27%
27%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |