Olimpia Zambrow vs Polonia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
38.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Zambrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 4
OLI
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 1
RWM
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
4 - 1
OLI
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
OLI
1 - 0
USK
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
UWA
2 - 1
OLI
22%
23%
55%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Polonia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 1
PEL
72%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POL
0 - 2
KSL
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
BRA
4 - 3
POL
15%
19%
66%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
POL
2 - 3
RWM
92%
6%
2%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
2 - 0
POL
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -3 |