Olimpia Grudziadz vs Wisla Pulawy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
18º
11º
22
2º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 47.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 31% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 19% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
SKO
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 2
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
POD
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 2
GKS
27%
24%
50%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Wisla Pulawy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 0
ZAG
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 0
WIS
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
WIS
0 - 2
WIE
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 3
TSP
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 1
WIS
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |