Olimpia Grudziadz vs Lech Poznań II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
PSR
0 - 0
OLI
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 0
KOS
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
NOW
0 - 2
OLI
27%
24%
50%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
4 - 1
TKP
70%
18%
12%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 0
WAR
15%
22%
62%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | +2 |
Matches
Lech Poznań II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
KAL
2 - 2
LPO
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
PGM
0 - 0
LPO
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LPO
3 - 2
CHO
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
LPO
1 - 1
GAK
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
LPO
2 - 1
PUS
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |