Olimpia Grudziadz vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
67.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
SOK
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
JAR
1 - 1
OLI
8%
18%
74%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
3 - 1
ZAW
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 4
OLI
11%
20%
69%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
WIS
13%
18%
69%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 1
LPO
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LPO
3 - 0
JAG
54%
24%
23%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
WIS
1 - 1
LPO
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LPO
0 - 1
RAK
43%
25%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
GÓR
0 - 2
LPO
42%
25%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |