Olimpia Grudziadz vs Kalisz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
18º
11º
29
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
3.5% | 56% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 2% |
|
Relegation
|
13.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Grudziadz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
LKS
2 - 4
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 0
ZAG
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RES
2 - 1
OLI
53%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
OLI
62%
20%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
REK
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Kalisz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
ZAG
64%
22%
15%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
WIE
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 2
OLI
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 2
KAL
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |