Olimpia Elblag vs Zagłębie Sosnowiec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
42%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
18º
18º
29
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 70% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 3
WIE
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
WIS
3 - 2
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
SKR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zagłębie Sosnowiec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 3
HUT
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 2
ZAG
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
2 - 2
LKS
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 0
ZAG
45%
26%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
ZAG
0 - 1
SAN
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |