Olimpia Elblag vs SKRA Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
18º
18º
0
13º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
21 | 69 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
20 | 62 |
2º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
16 | 58 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 58 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 55 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 48 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 44 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 39 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 38 |
15º
|
9% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 27 |
17º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
5% | 4.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 13% |
|
Relegation
|
87% | 82.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MGJ
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
PLW
2 - 1
OLI
10%
17%
73%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
SKR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 4
HUT
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SKR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 3
SKR
20%
23%
57%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |