Olimpia Elblag vs SKRA Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
9º
18º
18º
13
12º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 12.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1.5% | 15.5% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 72% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STA
4 - 2
OLI
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MGJ
34%
28%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
POD
0 - 0
OLI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
2 - 1
OLI
10%
17%
73%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
SKR
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 4
HUT
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SKR
70%
19%
11%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 3
SKR
20%
23%
57%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |