Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Olimpia vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1990 |
VAS
1 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 2
OLI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1990 |
OLI
1 - 0
GRE
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
STR
1 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
3 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 0
SPC
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1990 |
COL
1 - 2
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |