Olimpia vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
CCP
2 - 2
OLI
35%
28%
37%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
1 - 2
OLI
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
2 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
5 - 0
CFC
71%
17%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
62%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 2
CCP
47%
24%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1995 |
CFC
3 - 2
TRU
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
2 - 2
OLI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
TRU
1 - 3
CFC
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |