Olimpia vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 1
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 1
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CCP
4 - 1
OLI
49%
26%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 0
GUA
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
76%
17%
8%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
TAC
1 - 2
LQE
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
LIB
2 - 2
TAC
76%
17%
7%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | +1 |