Olimpia vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 1
OLI
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 0
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
OLI
2 - 2
IND
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
2 - 2
SAN
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 2
GUA
31%
29%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RÑU
1 - 2
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
NAC
21%
27%
53%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +1 |