Olimpia vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
11º
3º
4
4º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
7 | 39 |
1º
|
30.5% | |
|
1º
|
9 | 38 |
2º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
4 | 33 |
3º
|
13% | |
|
3º
|
5 | 31 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
4 | 31 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 30 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 30 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
4 | 27 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
1 | 27 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
2 | 26 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
1 | 24 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
2 | 22 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
7% | 3.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 96.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2025 |
OLI
3 - 0
TEM
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
AME
2 - 2
OLI
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
OLI
0 - 1
GUA
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
LIB
2 - 1
OLI
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 1
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
SPT
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2025 |
TEM
2 - 2
SPT
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
SPT
1 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
SPT
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2024 |
SPT
3 - 2
CCP
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |