Olimpia vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
8º
3º
35
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
JLM
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
JLM
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AME
1 - 3
LQE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 0
NAC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
LQE
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
AME
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |