Olimpia vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
7º
1º
21
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
8%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
OLI
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 0
JLM
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
4 - 3
LQE
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
CCP
1 - 2
AME
48%
25%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
JLM
1 - 1
AME
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 2
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
49%
26%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |