Olimpia vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 2
FLA
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
73%
18%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
FLA
3 - 3
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LIB
0 - 1
OLI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
LQE
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 1
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
TAC
2 - 6
AME
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
LIB
34%
28%
39%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
AME
65%
22%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |