Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 6-4
Olimpia vs Sol de América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
BOC
5 - 3
OLI
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
BOC
47%
25%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1989 |
OLI
2 - 0
COB
31%
32%
38%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
COB
2 - 0
OLI
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sol de América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
TAC
3 - 0
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1989 |
AME
3 - 0
TAC
69%
17%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1989 |
AME
5 - 4
OLI
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1989 |
AME
0 - 0
COB
29%
28%
43%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
AME
1 - 0
COL
47%
23%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |