Olimpia vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
OLI
0 - 0
12O
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
SPO
1 - 4
OLI
16%
24%
61%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
OLI
1 - 1
TAC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2003 |
GRE
3 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
18%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
IND
0 - 1
SLO
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
2 - 2
TAL
68%
20%
13%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
ARS
1 - 2
SLO
21%
25%
54%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2003 |
SLO
4 - 0
HUR
75%
16%
8%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2003 |
RIV
4 - 0
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |