Olimpia vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 4
OLI
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2016 |
OLI
3 - 2
GUA
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 1
OLI
21%
24%
55%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 0
LQE
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
LIB
3 - 1
OLI
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
GEN
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
RÑU
1 - 2
RPA
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 1
DEP
25%
24%
51%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
GUA
4 - 2
RPA
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
RPA
1 - 3
NAC
30%
27%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |