Olimpia vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
OLI
1 - 1
CCP
56%
21%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 1
OLI
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1974 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1973 |
OLI
1 - 0
SPC
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 1
PEÑ
65%
21%
14%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1973 |
PEÑ
0 - 2
PAL
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |