Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Olimpia vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
OLI
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
OLI
1 - 2
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
COL
2 - 5
OLI
60%
20%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1960 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEÑ
68%
17%
15%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1960 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
OLI
72%
15%
13%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1961 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
OLI
63%
18%
18%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
UNI
2 - 0
PEÑ
51%
22%
27%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
UNI
67%
17%
16%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1960 |
RMA
5 - 1
PEÑ
94%
4%
2%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1960 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
RMA
41%
23%
36%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |